Yuro idagwera pansi pamlingo motsutsana ndi Dollar

Mlozera wa DOLLAR, womwe udakwera pamwamba pa 107 sabata yatha, udapitilirabe sabata ino, ukugunda kwambiri kuyambira Okutobala 2002 usiku umodzi pafupi ndi 108.19.

Pofika 17:30, July 12, nthawi ya Beijing, ndondomeko ya DOLLAR inali 108.3.Us June CPI idzatulutsidwa Lachitatu, nthawi yakomweko.Pakalipano, deta yomwe ikuyembekezeredwa ndi yolimba, yomwe ingalimbikitse maziko a Federal Reserve kukweza chiwongoladzanja ndi mfundo za 75 (BP) mu July.

Barclays adasindikiza malingaliro a ndalama omwe ali ndi mutu wakuti "Dola yokwera mtengo ndiyo chiwerengero cha zoopsa zonse za mchira", zomwe zinkawoneka kuti zikuphatikiza zifukwa za mphamvu za dola - mkangano pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine, kusowa kwa mpweya ku Ulaya, kukwera kwa mitengo komwe kungapangitse dola kukhala yokwera. motsutsana ndi ndalama zazikulu komanso chiopsezo cha kuchepa kwachuma.Ngakhale ambiri akuganiza kuti dola ikhoza kukhala yamtengo wapatali pakapita nthawi, zoopsazi zikhoza kuchititsa kuti dola iwonongeke pakapita nthawi.

Mphindi za msonkhano wandalama wa Federal Open Market Committee wa June, womwe unatulutsidwa sabata yatha, zikuwonetsa kuti akuluakulu aboma sanakambirane za kuchepa kwachuma.Cholinga chake chinali pa inflation (yotchulidwa nthawi zoposa 20) ndikukonzekera kukweza chiwongoladzanja m'miyezi ikubwerayi.Bungwe la Fed likuda nkhawa kuti kukwera kwa inflation kudzakhala "kozikika" kusiyana ndi chiwopsezo cha kuchepa kwachuma, zomwe zawonjezeranso kuyembekezera kukwera koopsa.

M'tsogolomu, mabwalo onse sakhulupirira kuti DOLLAR idzafowoka kwambiri, ndipo mphamvuyo idzapitirirabe."Msika tsopano ukubetcha 92.7% pakukwera kwamitengo ya 75BP pamsonkhano wa Fed wa Julayi 27 mpaka 2.25% -2.5%.Kuchokera pamalingaliro aukadaulo, ndondomeko ya DOLLAR idzawonetsa kukana ku 109.50 pambuyo pophwanya mulingo wa 106.80, Yang Aozheng, katswiri wamkulu waku China ku FXTM Futuo, adauza atolankhani.

A Joe Perry, katswiri wamkulu ku Jassein, adauzanso atolankhani kuti index ya DOLLAR yapita patsogolo mwadongosolo kuyambira Meyi 2021, ndikupanga njira yokwera.Mu Epulo 2022, zidawonekeratu kuti Fed ikweza mitengo mwachangu kuposa momwe amayembekezera.M'mwezi umodzi wokha, index ya DOLLAR idakwera kuchoka pa 100 mpaka 105, idatsikanso mpaka 101.30 ndikuwukanso.Pa Julayi 6, idayima panjira yokwera ndipo posachedwapa idakulitsa zopindula zake.Pambuyo pa chizindikiro cha 108, "kutsutsa kwakukulu ndi September 2002 mkulu wa 109.77 ndi September 2001 otsika a 111.31."Perry anatero.

M'malo mwake, ntchito yamphamvu ya dollar ndi "mnzake", yuro imakhala pafupifupi 60% ya DOLLAR index, kufooka kwa yuro kwathandizira ku index ya dollar, kufooka kopitilira muyeso kwa yen ndi sterling kunathandiziranso dola. .

Chiwopsezo cha kutsika kwachuma mu eurozone tsopano ndichokulirapo kuposa ku US chifukwa chazovuta kwambiri ku Europe pa Mkangano wapakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine.Goldman Sachs posachedwa adayika chiwopsezo chachuma cha US kuti chigwere chaka chamawa ndi 30 peresenti, poyerekeza ndi 40 peresenti ya eurozone ndi 45 peresenti yaku UK.Ndicho chifukwa chake European Central Bank ikukhalabe yosamala pokweza chiwongoladzanja, ngakhale pakukumana ndi kukwera kwa inflation.Eurozone CPI inakwera kufika ku 8.4% mu June ndi core CPI kufika ku 3.9%, koma ECB tsopano ikuyembekezeka kukweza chiwongoladzanja ndi 25BP yokha pamsonkhano wake wa July 15, mosiyana kwambiri ndi kuyembekezera kwa Fed kuti chiwonjezeke kuposa 300BP. chaka chino.

Ndikoyenera kutchula kuti kampani yapaipi yamafuta achilengedwe ya Nord Stream Natural idati idatseka kwakanthawi mizere iwiri yapaipi yamafuta achilengedwe a Nord Stream 1 yomwe imayendetsedwa ndi kampaniyo kuyambira 7 PM nthawi ya Moscow pa Tsiku lokonza ntchito yokonza, RIA Novosti inanena pa Novembara 11. Tsopano popeza kuchepa kwa gasi m'nyengo yozizira ku Europe ndi chinthu chotsimikizika komanso kupanikizika kukukulirakulira, izi zitha kukhala udzu womwe umathyola ngamila, malinga ndi bungweli.

Pa Julayi 12, nthawi ya Beijing, yuro idatsika molingana ndi DOLLAR kufika pa 0.9999 kwa nthawi yoyamba pafupifupi zaka 20.Pofika 16:30 patsiku, yuro inali kugulitsa pafupifupi 1.002.

"Eurusd pansi pa 1 ikhoza kuyambitsa madongosolo akuluakulu oyimitsa, kugulitsa malonda atsopano ndikupanga kusakhazikika," Perry adauza atolankhani.Mwaukadaulo, pali chithandizo kuzungulira madera a 0.9984 ndi 0.9939-0.9950.Koma kusakhazikika kwapachaka kunakwera mpaka 18.89 ndikuwonjezeranso kufunika, kuwonetsa kuti amalonda akudziyika okha kuti azitha kuphulika sabata ino. "


Nthawi yotumiza: Jul-13-2022